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Without Trump, debate gives Republican hopefuls chance to build momentum

Former president has decided not to take part in event as rivals line up for party91裸聊视频檚 nomination
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This combination of photos shows Republican presidential candidates. Top row from left: South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, and Vivek Ramaswamy. Bottom row from left: former New Jersey governor Chris Christie, former vice president Mike Pence, North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum and former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson. THE CANADIAN PRESS/AP

It doesn91裸聊视频檛 happen often, but it91裸聊视频檚 happening tonight: Donald Trump is spurning the chance to appear on prime-time television.

That makes the Republican presidential debate in Milwaukee a rare and perhaps critical opportunity for the bulk of Trump91裸聊视频檚 rivals to make their case to a national audience 91裸聊视频 many of them for the first time.

Make no mistake, however, the former president91裸聊视频檚 presence will be felt.

91裸聊视频淎s I like to say, he91裸聊视频檚 in the room whether or not he91裸聊视频檚 in the room,91裸聊视频 said Steven D. Cohen, a communications professor at the Johns Hopkins Carey Business School in Baltimore, Md.

91裸聊视频淓ach candidate is trying to have a breakout moment. And whether they get that through an image, an attack or a memorable statement, they have to break out. Because right now Trump is far and away the front-runner.91裸聊视频

The rest of them, of course, are decidedly not.

Not even Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, the man many observers and supporters had tapped back in January as the heir apparent, only to watch an uninspired, charisma-free campaign drag his poll numbers into the mid-teens.

91裸聊视频淚91裸聊视频檒l tell you, he91裸聊视频檚 got to walk a little bit of a tightrope in how he talks about Trump,91裸聊视频 Cohen said.

91裸聊视频淗e has to show that he has the chops, that he has what it takes to take on Joe Biden, but he has to do it without alienating pro-Trump voters 91裸聊视频 or even without alienating Republicans in general.91裸聊视频

Under normal, pre-Trump circumstances, the contest would be all but over. A CBS News poll out this week showed the former president with a commanding 62 per cent lead among likely Republican primary voters.

91裸聊视频淎s long as Trump commands a solid, committed base, he91裸聊视频檚 in control,91裸聊视频 said Mark Rozell, a public policy professor at George Mason University in Arlington, Va.

Through four separate criminal indictments 91裸聊视频 Trump plans to surrender in Georgia on Wednesday, quashing any post-debate coverage of his rivals 91裸聊视频 that base has shown no signs of abandoning him, Rozell said.

91裸聊视频淧arty leaders and donors want nothing more than for Trump to plead a deal and step aside from running,91裸聊视频 he said.

91裸聊视频淕iven Trump91裸聊视频檚 intense base support, they are not saying out loud that they would like the party to move on. Ultimately, they fear he is not a strong general election candidate and will sink Republicans down-ticket.91裸聊视频

For the moment, at least, the polls suggest otherwise. But Trump91裸聊视频檚 escalating legal challenges also help explain why DeSantis is still in the race.

91裸聊视频淯nder other circumstances 91裸聊视频 with donors abandoning him and his polls lagging 91裸聊视频 DeSantis would depart early and live to fight another day,91裸聊视频 Rozell said.

91裸聊视频淕iven that he remains second choice still for many, he has an incentive to stay in the race in case Trump exits.91裸聊视频

That puts the man once billed as a Republican Trump-slayer in an unenviable position: polling at a dismal 16 per cent, according to the CBS News poll, and yet likely to be a popular target on the debate stage.

Another hopeful looking to boost his national profile will be Vivek Ramaswamy, a former biotech entrepreneur who likes to channel Trump-style disdain for traditional political guardrails to curry favour with the MAGA set.

The self-described 91裸聊视频淎merica First conservative91裸聊视频 and 91裸聊视频淎merican nationalist91裸聊视频 has been polling recently in third place behind Trump and DeSantis, leading a pack of would-be contenders that has yet to crack double digits.

91裸聊视频淭hree hours of solid debate prep this morning,91裸聊视频 Ramaswamy said Tuesday on the social media platform X alongside a video of him playing tennis shirtless.

91裸聊视频淩amaswamy, who is this incredible, upstart, young, telegenic, successful business person, wants to get as much attention as possible,91裸聊视频 said Cohen.

91裸聊视频淚 think getting attacked by DeSantis or other candidates, for him, is a great thing, because it only increases his stature.91裸聊视频

Chasing Ramaswamy in the CBS poll was former vice-president Mike Pence at five per cent, followed by South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott at three per cent.

Chris Christie, the former New Jersey governor who91裸聊视频檚 not shy about attacking Trump directly, was tied with Nikki Haley, a former South Carolina governor and the only woman in the field, at two per cent.

91裸聊视频淐hris Christie is the most interesting candidate on the Republican side,91裸聊视频 Cohen said. 91裸聊视频淗e91裸聊视频檚 the only one who91裸聊视频檚 willing to take on Donald Trump head on. He91裸聊视频檚 willing to say what no other Republican is willing to say. And he91裸聊视频檚 willing to do that publicly.91裸聊视频

North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum and former New Hampshire governor Asa Hutchinson, who round out the debate field, were tied near the bottom of the poll at one per cent each.

A handful of other candidates, including Miami Mayor Francis Suarez, former Texas congressman Will Hurd, conservative radio personality Larry Elder and Michigan executive Perry Johnson did not qualify to participate.

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