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Stakes high as Trump, Harris set face off in only debate

Experts say U.S. presidential debate will be 91Ƶmost consequential 90 minutes91Ƶ of campaign
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Republican presidential nominee, former President Donald Trump, at an event, Aug. 15, 2024, in Bedminster, N.J., left, and Democratic presidential nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris at a campaign event in Raleigh, N.C., Aug. 16, 2024, are shown in a composite image made from two photographs. THE CANADIAN PRESS/AP

Kamala Harris will bring her message of joy directly to Donald Trump during a debate that experts say is shaping up to be a critical moment ahead of the November U.S. election.

91ƵThis is perhaps the only time U.S. voters will see Kamala Harris and Donald Trump interact directly on stage together,91Ƶ said Allison Prasch, an associate professor at the University of Wisconsin.

91ƵI think this is possibly the most consequential 90 minutes of this entire election season.91Ƶ

The pair will meet onstage in Philadelphia in the second presidential debate of the campaign. It caps a tumultuous summer for both parties, which saw the attempted assassination of the former president, the complete reconfiguration of the Democratic ticket and struggles among Republicans to respond to their new opponent.

The first presidential debate in June was a pivotal moment for Democrats. Trump easily held his own against a jolting and incoherent President Joe Biden.

The debate accelerated a cascade of concerns over the president91Ƶs mental acuity and ability to win the election, and led Biden to remove himself from the race.

Tuesday91Ƶs faceoff could eclipse June91Ƶs debate as a defining moment of the election.

91ƵIt is quite literally the visual and discursive moment where there two choices are side-by-side,91Ƶ said Prasch, an expert on U.S. presidential rhetoric.

The stakes are extremely high in the tight race. Harris has been seen polls slightly swing in her favour in some important battleground states as she rides a wave of enthusiasm and excitement since taking the helm of the Democratic ticket. But margins in Pennsylvania, where the debate is happening, remain razor thin.

Matthew Lebo, a specialist in U.S. politics at Western University in London, Ont., said the state is the race91Ƶs biggest battle.

While Philadelphia is generally a Democratic stronghold, Pennsylvania has turned into a battleground state that could be crucial to win the presidency. Trump took it in 2016 before it swung back to Biden in 2020 91Ƶ both by narrow margins.

Tuesday91Ƶs matchup will put Harris91Ƶs skills to the test with fewer than 60 days until the election. She will have to reach out to voters and layout her campaign91Ƶs policies while holding Trump91Ƶs attacks at bay.

The vice-president is expected to rely on her background as a prosecutor while still leaning into the feelings of hope and joy her campaign has embraced since Biden91Ƶs departure.

Prasch said a successful debate for Harris would also involve clear communication about her policy approaches to the economy, Israel and the war in Gaza, and 91Ƶkitchen-table issues91Ƶ affecting everyday citizens.

Canadians are likely listening for plans around international trade. Whoever wins the election will be in power during the review of the Canada-United States-Mexico trade pact in 2026.

Many expect Harris will follow the path of her predecessor on Canada-U.S. relations. Harris, however, was one of 10 U.S. senators to vote against the trilateral agreement under Trump, saying it didn91Ƶt do enough to protect American workers or the environment.

Trump has floated ideas that would disrupt global trade and has already signalled plans for a 10 per cent tariff on imports.

Lebo said he doesn91Ƶt expect to gain much insight into Canadians91Ƶ questions Tuesday.

Trump91Ƶs greatest challenge will be staying on message and away from comments that could come across as misogynistic or racist, he said.

In the final moments of the third presidential debate in 2016, Trump memorably called Hillary Clinton 91Ƶa nasty woman.91Ƶ Facing off against Harris, who has proved a difficult opponent for Trump so far, Lebo said the president91Ƶs comments could veer into similar territory.

91ƵHe goes off script,91Ƶ Lebo said. 91ƵWhen he91Ƶs on stage with Harris, and she91Ƶs going to have some very good answers, she91Ƶs not going to give the respect he thinks he deserves 91Ƶ I don91Ƶt know if he will be able to contain himself.91Ƶ

Ahead of the debate, Trump has criticized both the format and ABC News moderators, claiming he will not be treated fairly. He said on social media that 91Ƶno boxes or artificial lifts will be allowed to stand on91Ƶ during the debate.

91ƵIt would be a form of cheating, and the Democrats cheat enough,91Ƶ Trump said Saturday.

Lebo said that rhetoric may work well among Trump91Ƶs base of supporters but it won91Ƶt get him elected.

91ƵHe needs more than his base.91Ƶ





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