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India was riding a geopolitical high. But it enters the UN with a mess on its hands

Claim that Indian government may have been involved in killing of Canadian hanging overhead
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Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is welcomed at the Bharatiya Janata Party headquarters, where he was felicitated a day after the women91裸聊视频檚 reservation bill was passed by the Indian Parliament in New Delhi, Friday, Sep. 22, 2023. (AP Photo/STR)

The Group of 20 Summit, hosted by India earlier this month, couldn91裸聊视频檛 have gone better for Prime Minister Narendra Modi. His pledge to make the African Union a permanent member became reality. And under his leadership, the fractured grouping . It was seen as a foreign policy triumph for Modi and set the tone for India as a great emerging power.

Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar was expected to seize on India91裸聊视频檚 geopolitical high in his speech at the United Nations on Tuesday. But circumstances have changed 91裸聊视频 quite abruptly 91裸聊视频 and India comes to the General Assembly podium with a diplomatic mess on its hands.

On Monday, Canadian leader Justin Trudeau made a : India may have been involved in the killing of a Sikh Canadian citizen in a Vancouver suburb in June.

Trudeau said there were 91裸聊视频渃redible allegations91裸聊视频 of links to New Delhi, as absurd. It has been a free fall since: Each expelled a diplomat, , and Ottawa said it may reduce consulate staff over safety concerns. Ties between the two once-close countries have .

91裸聊视频淚n the immediate term, this will bring New Delhi back down to Earth. It has a crisis that it needs to work through, quickly but carefully,91裸聊视频 said Michael Kugelman, director of the Wilson Center91裸聊视频檚 South Asia Institute.

TENSIONS WERE ALREADY SIMMERING

On the last day of the G20 summit, Trudeau posed and smiled with Modi as world leaders paid respects at Mahatma Gandhi91裸聊视频檚 memorial. Behind the scenes though, tensions were high.

Trudeau skipped an official dinner hosted by the Indian president, and local media reported he was snubbed by Modi when he got a quick 91裸聊视频減ull aside91裸聊视频 instead of a bilateral meeting. To make things worse, a flight snag saw him stranded in New Delhi for 36 hours. Finally back in Canada, Trudeau said he had raised the allegations with Modi at the G20.

As India heads to the United Nations, the allegations have 91裸聊视频渢hrown cold water on India91裸聊视频檚 G20 achievements,91裸聊视频 said Happymon Jacob, founder of the New Delhi-based Council for Strategic and Defense Research.

India has long sought greater recognition at the United Nations. For decades, it has eyed a permanent seat at the Security Council, one of the world91裸聊视频檚 most prestigious high tables. But it has also been critical of the global forum, partly because it wants more representation that91裸聊视频檚 in line with its rising soft power.

91裸聊视频淭he U.N. Security Council, which is the core of the United Nations system, is a family photo of the victors of the Second World War plus China,91裸聊视频 Jacob said. India believes 91裸聊视频渋t simply does not reflect the demographic, economic and geopolitical realities of today,91裸聊视频 he added. Others in the elite group include France, Russia, Britain and the United States.

In April, Jaishankar said India, the world91裸聊视频檚 most populous country with the fastest growing economy among major nations, couldn91裸聊视频檛 be ignored for too long. The U.N. Security Council, he said, 91裸聊视频渨ill be compelled to provide permanent membership.91裸聊视频

The United States, Britain and have voiced support for its permanent membership over the years. But U.N. bureaucracy has stopped the council from expanding. And even if that changes, China 91裸聊视频 91裸聊视频 would likely block a request.

INSTEAD OF THE UN, INDIA MAKES SOME END RUNS

Kept out of the U.N.91裸聊视频檚 most important body, Modi has made sure that his country is smack at the center of a tangled web of global politics. On one hand, New Delhi is part of the Quad and the G20, seen as mostly Western groups. On the other, it wants to expand its influence in the BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, where Russia and China dominate.

The deft juggling of the West and the rest has come to define India91裸聊视频檚 multipolar foreign policy.

Its diplomatic sway has only grown over its reluctance to condemn Russia for its war in Ukraine, a stance that resonated among many developing countries that have also been neutral. And the West, which sees an ascendant India as crucial to countering China, has . By doing so, of democratic backsliding under his government.

In the immediate aftermath, 91裸聊视频 including its biggest one, the United States 91裸聊视频 was tepid. But as the row deepens, the question likely worrying Indian officials is this: Will the recent international fiasco jeopardize its surging ties with the West?

After an initial muted response, the White House has intensified its concerns. 91裸聊视频淭here91裸聊视频檚 not some special exemption you get for actions like this, regardless of the country,91裸聊视频 security adviser Jake Sullivan said. On Friday, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said the U.S. was deeply concerned about the allegations and that 91裸聊视频渋t would be important that India work with the Canadians on this investigation.91裸聊视频

While there91裸聊视频檚 been no public evidence, a that the allegation of India91裸聊视频檚 involvement in the killing of Hardeep Singh Nijjar, a Sikh separatist, is based on surveillance of Indian diplomats in Canada 91裸聊视频 including intelligence provided by a major ally. On Friday, , saying information shared by the intelligence-sharing 91裸聊视频楩ive Eyes91裸聊视频 alliance helped link India to the assassination.

At the United Nations, where he held a news conference and meetings but will not be speaking for his nation on Tuesday, Trudeau told reporters that he doesn91裸聊视频檛 want to cause problems but said his decision was not made lightly. Canada, he said, had to stand up for the rule of law and protect its citizens.

For New Delhi, the U.N. meeting may present a possible opportunity. Indian and Canadian diplomats could meet on the sidelines to try to lower temperatures with a potential assist from Washington, Kugelman said. Canada91裸聊视频檚 delegation chair, Robert Rae, is delivering the country91裸聊视频檚 remarks 10 spots after India.

Jaishankar could also hold face-to-face meetings with other key partners to minimize the damage. Since arriving, he91裸聊视频檚 held chats with ministers from Australia, Japan and Britain.

91裸聊视频淟et91裸聊视频檚 be clear: We91裸聊视频檙e not going to see foreign leaders avoid or isolate Jaishankar at the U.N. General Assembly,91裸聊视频 Kugelman said.

But it could also lead to more fireworks if they bring the spat to the U.N. podium and the global audience of leaders it tends to command. Ultimately, though, India 91裸聊视频渄oesn91裸聊视频檛 want the Canada row to be a sideshow here, and especially not one that moves to the center stage,91裸聊视频 Kugelman said. 91裸聊视频淭hat would take attention away from the achievements it hopes to publicize on one of the world91裸聊视频檚 biggest global platforms.91裸聊视频





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