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91ƵInconsistent91Ƶ message on climate change hurt Liberals at the polls: SFU prof

Trudeau government will have to make concessions to hold onto power
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Prime Minister Justin Trudeau celebrates a Liberal Party win on Monday, Oct. 21, 2019. (The Canadian Press)

The environment proved to be a critical issue in Monday91Ƶs election, and the Liberals91Ƶ compromise didn91Ƶt score them many votes on either side of the issue.

Climate change was polling as the No. 1 issue among voters prior to Oct. 21 vote, but one Simon Fraser University professor said Prime Minister Justin Trudeau tried to play both sides, and lost.

91ƵThey tried to provide what they would view as a compromise 91Ƶ trying to build a pipeline and at the same time doing their carbon tax,91Ƶ said Tom Gunton of SFU91Ƶs Resource and Environmental Planning Program.

But their 91Ƶinconsistent message91Ƶ didn91Ƶt sit well with those worried for the climate, Gunton said.

91ƵIt was very difficult for them to portray themselves as defenders of the climate, while at the same time people would just point out 91ƵWell, you just bought an oil pipeline.91Ƶ91Ƶ

It especially didn91Ƶt help them in the Prairies, he pointed out, as they were completely shut out of Alberta and Saskatchewan, and suffered losses in Quebec, where the Bloc Québécois jumped to 32 seats from just 10.

91ƵOpposition to pipelines is high in Quebec,91Ƶ Gunton said. 91ƵThat was a liability for the Liberals.91Ƶ

Overall, Trudeau hung onto 157 of 184 seats, but was downgraded to a minority government, while Andrew Scheer91Ƶs Conservatives jumped from 99 seats to 121 and actually won the popular vote.

The Liberals tried play the middle when it came to climate change, while other parties had a clearer goal.

The Conservatives, Gunton said, tried to keep Alberta and Saskatchewan happy by supporting pipelines, but lost in places like Ontario and Quebec.

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Gunton said the results paint a divided picture of Canada, with the Prairies and B.C.91Ƶs interior coloured a Tory blue, while more climate change-focused parties scooped up the rest of the country.

The NDP, which nearly halved their ridings to just 24 this election, could play a more significant role than their seat count suggests, he added, because of the minority result. Together, the Liberals, NDP and Greens have 184 seats 91Ƶ a significant majority.

91ƵThere will certainly be some concessions.91Ƶ

As for the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion, Gunton said it91Ƶs hard to tell if politics or economics will hold it back the most.

91ƵThe costs of building it has doubled,91Ƶ he said. 91ƵYou add to that the political dimension, as the Liberal government does not have a majority, and the parties it depends on for support are clearly opposed to Trans Mountain.91Ƶ


katya.slepian@bpdigital.ca

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